Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.191846 0.222353 0.257886 0.302769 0.358575 0.426521 0.516834
2025-01-12 0.144676 0.182276 0.231409 0.302096 0.404343 0.552277 0.793638
2025-01-19 0.116100 0.154946 0.210013 0.297342 0.439804 0.678667 1.150901
2025-01-26 0.100014 0.139714 0.199830 0.303326 0.491189 0.853325 1.726600
2025-02-02 0.089411 0.129753 0.194358 0.313920 0.553361 1.082411 2.661409
2025-02-09 0.080775 0.120949 0.188362 0.321133 0.611523 1.342018 4.068280
2025-02-16 0.074209 0.114236 0.184272 0.330337 0.677881 1.674754 6.458022
2025-02-23 0.068339 0.107695 0.179072 0.335609 0.737729 2.046373 10.283349
2025-03-02 0.063118 0.101494 0.173297 0.337959 0.791739 2.460471 16.605127
2025-03-09 0.058277 0.095315 0.166474 0.336096 0.833754 2.886267 26.831710
2025-03-16 0.053650 0.088964 0.158298 0.328963 0.857134 3.270497 42.350774
2025-03-23 0.050930 0.085902 0.156433 0.337237 0.936873 4.088562 91.400008
2025-03-30 0.047128 0.080403 0.148748 0.328908 0.956341 4.616594 170.883425
2025-04-06 0.044653 0.077286 0.145878 0.333299 1.029445 5.724272 532.342222
2025-04-13 0.041897 0.073320 0.140555 0.329502 1.068526 6.706193 1956.935370
2025-04-20 0.040116 0.071166 0.139096 0.336887 1.164073 8.644384 63874.182571
2025-04-27 0.038764 0.069763 0.139195 0.349242 1.295587 11.800146 NaN
2025-05-04 0.037302 0.067974 0.138106 0.357607 1.416460 15.846199 NaN
2025-05-11 0.036058 0.066534 0.137678 0.368243 1.563627 22.226178 NaN
2025-05-18 0.034701 0.064717 0.136047 0.374336 1.692353 30.524148 NaN
2025-05-25 0.033310 0.062700 0.133637 0.377053 1.804867 41.334638 NaN
2025-06-01 0.031839 0.060382 0.130152 0.374901 1.883285 53.789514 NaN
2025-06-08 0.030260 0.057698 0.125382 0.366666 1.909337 65.145118 NaN